Monday, August 11, 2008

Divergence - Revisit












Learn Basic Divergence & Concept Here:-

Semenjak dua menjak nie, banyak betul divergence.. kat weekly.. daily.. 4hr.. asyik-asyik nampak Divergence... Divergence... Divergence... Apa makna disebalik divergence?.. Aku nak terjah sekali lagi makna disebalik divergence & apa kegunaannya dimasa mendatang...

Bull or Bear Trend versus Bull or Bear Divergence

I SEE Bull or Bear trend only by looking at
Higher Low or Lower High. And i SEE the bull or bear divergence only by looking at Higher High or Lower Low..

Divergence.... Regular or Hidden..

Regular Divergence:

  • Higher highs in price and lower highs in the oscillator which indicate a trend reversal from up to down.
  • Lower lows in price and higher lows in the oscillator which indicate a trend reversal from down to up.

Hidden Divergence:

  • Lower highs in price and higher highs in the oscillator which indicate a confirmation of the price trend which is down.
  • Higher lows in price and lower lows in the oscillator which indicate a confirmation of the price trend which is up

Higher Highs...

Apabila price buat new High.. tapi indicator tak ikut buat new High.. Ini adalah divergence...? Apabila indicator buat new High.. tapi price tak ikut buat new High.. Ini juga adalah divergence..? Dalam erti kata lain kalau direction of price or oscillator dah extremes & aren't confirmed by other; so its weak or exhausted and is likely to change direction...

Bila price buat new high (higher high); tapi indicator tidak... Make price dah extremely high & very likely to change direction- dalam kes nie; there is possibility for trend change from up to down...

Bila indicator buat new high (higher high); tapi price tidak.. Maka indicator dah extremely high & very likely to change direction - dalam kes ni; there is possibility for price to continue down.

Lower Lows..

Apabila price buat new low.. tapi indicator tak ikut buat new low.. Ini adalah divergence...? Apabila indicator buat new low.. tapi price tak ikut buat new low.. Ini juga adalah divergence..? Dalam erti kata lain kalau direction of price or oscillator dah extremes turun ke bawah; but not confirmed - ini menunjukkan Lower Lows dah weak or exhausted...

Bila price buat new low (lower low); tapi indicator tidak... Make price dah extremely low & very likely to change direction - dalam kes nie; there is possibility for trend change from down to up...

Bila indicator buat new low (lower low); tapi price tidak.. Maka indicator dah extremely low & very likely to change direction - dalam kes ni; there is possibility for price to continue up.


Simple Rules

Trend...
Bull trend - Series of higher Highs & higher Lows In Price
Bear trend - Series of lower Lows & lower Highs In Price

Divergence...

If price extremely Highs & bull trend exhausted with evidence of Bearish Divergence (Higher highs in price; not confirmed by indicators) ... Direction of price will change soon (go down).. If indicator extremely high with evidence of Hidden Bearish Divergence (Higher Highs in indicator not confirmed by price).. Direction of indicator will change soon - so the price will continue to go down..

If price extremely lows with evidence of Bullish Divergence (Lower low in price not confirmed by indicators).. Direction of price will change soon (go up).. If indicator extremely low with evidence of Hidden Bullish Divergence .. Direction of indicator will change soon - so the price will continue to go up..

If price extremely high with evidence of Bearish Divergence - Bull Trend Exhausted... Possibility of price trend change from up to down

If price extremely low with evidence of Bullish Divergence - Bear Trend Exhausted...Possibility of price trend change from down to up


Thing to take note:

1. I consider divergence to be an indicator, not a signal to enter a trade. It would be unwise to enter a trade basely solely on this indicator as too many false signals are given; however, on the other hand, I consider it even more unwise to trade against this indicator.
2. I decide divergence based on swing point & i need to see 3 bar at least to decide that swing point.

Tempoh Masa Untuk Membuat Keputusan:
3Bar x 4Hr - 12Hr.
3Bar x 24Hr - 3Days
3Bar x 7 days - 3 weeks.

2 comments:

Sutarno said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Sutarno said...

bos ajarin divergence donk saya pake fx5 divergence TF15 bagus ga?